some guy went all-in on lehman brothers and washington mutual
some people got oil
My first house in 2005. I was 23 and making decent money. Buy real estate they all said. Real Estate prices never fall, it's a sure bet. Almost ten years of payments, still not at break even.
waxwing
things like lehman make sense as small bets that could grow a lot. e.g. some made a killing in GM like that.
belcher
bitcoin shows up too
although the next comment is about someone buying at $10 selling at $1150
a thing i can add to that thread, dont live in a country where a war happens
(the worst investment one)
oakpacific
that's to say, pre-1945 there is no place in the world you can safely invest
belcher
really? not even the british east india company
that was a great investment iirc
oakpacific
belcher: well,the dutch one was much better
belcher
it killed less people i imagine
oakpacific
i just went by the logic that you don't invest in a country where war happens
pre-1945 all sorts of countries were routinely in war
belcher
ah yes
well if you invest in the winning side you'll be okay
see post-war america
waxwing
america wasn't rich only because it won, but also because it was remote from the theatre of war.
britain also won :)
belcher
yep true
oakpacific
america was rich because it was rich
belcher
the thing with war is even if you win, you dont necessarily win
waxwing
it's surreal to think that the same guy who wrote RSA in three lines for t-shirts and bypassing export controls, also invented hashcash and is, today, discussing the (de)merits of proof of stake on this IRC server.
oakpacific
black slaves eat sausages and eggs, fried chickens and watermelons, imperial Chinese peasants, while technically free, could enjoy nothing of the sort
belcher
adam3us wrote that t-shirt ?
waxwing
yes, he wrote the perl 3 liner, i'm pretty sure that was what's on the t-shirt
like 99% sure
belcher
TIL
cool
yeah its a small world
zooke talks in there too sometimes
waxwing
it's a small world, indeed, that seems to belong to Dr Back.
belcher
who came up with zooke's triangle
oakpacific
i think waxwing''s point is how come he likes PoS somehow
waxwing
oakpacific: no he doesn't, he's arguing against it.
but in a curiously naive way, as if he never thought about it before :)
oakpacific
oh, okay
waxwing
you know what I really find hard to believe? he joined bitcointalk a few days after me, in the newbie bin :)
oakpacific
well i was around at his inception post
belcher
wow
waxwing
this guy basically invented what bitcoin is based on, and was one of the main cypherpunks in the 90s.
oakpacific
he started mining
he could rank there with gmaxwell as one of the most dense writers around
i am reasonably certain that it would take someone's entire life to be able to just deduce from one sentence in one of their many posts to the next one
if they were to try that is
belcher
do you think it would've been do-able to have bitcoin's subsidy related to the number of miners?
so its more like gold, a low price means less people mine and less coins are actually created
inversely for higher price
waxwing
anything based on number of users doesn't work, does it, you can't identify individuals.
belcher
instead of number of users, what about something related to difficulty?
the network cant measure users but can measure hashrate
waxwing
the only one that makes sense that's been suggested is transaction volume.
but even that sounds like a recipe for disaster
belcher
which is easily fake
why wouldnt subsidy related to difficulty make sense?
waxwing
yeah, well 'easily' for some values of easy.
belcher
cheaply
plus some factor where only 21m can be mined
waxwing
subsidy is related to difficulty, it's a zeroth order function :)
belcher
subsidy is just related to time/block number now
waxwing
so, you're imagining keeping block time constant, but reducing block size in proportion to increases in difficulty?
belcher
hmm
i dont know
i guess its not really possible
waxwing
why not?
belcher
im just imagining something even more similar to a real life commodity, gold/oil/copper and so on
so like a formula subsidy = 50btc*difficulty/maxdifficulty
oakpacific
you know what, the flaw of PoS seems so obvious to me that I keep doubting if there is something I overlooked, otherwise why so many smart people keep supporting it?
belcher
has no upper limit
oakpacific since PoW has the flaw of being wasteful i guess
oakpacific
belcher: i think that's a red herring
belcher
i imagine its that, PoS is liked because PoW is disliked
waxwing
belcher: that's not a flaw, that's an essential component of the design. replace 'wasted' with 'used'.
belcher
yeah i understand
iv heard the analogy of the army, the only point of an army is to defend against other armies
waxwing
yeah. i forget it's Physics PhD central around here :)
belcher
how is that related :p
but i can also understand pacifists and PoSers who point out the resource use
waxwing
belcher: well it's probably fanciful, but i tend to think physicists grasp the idea better than others.
belcher
and yeah the whole point is resource use
use up a resource that cant be faked
waxwing
as well as armies, another interesting analogy is biological displays: like how peacocks developed their feathers.
belcher
yes
waxwing
horns on stags are very wasteful :)
belcher
its a kind of tragedy of the commons, if we could all agree and trust each other we wouldnt have to bother with PoW and just have a centralized database :)
if we could trust we dont need ECDSA either
yeah
big brains in humans, according to some biologists too
oakpacific
i otoh thinks it's due to the lack of understanding of free market
waxwing
yes, but one could also cite it as progress - the resource consumption using a hashcash approach is vastly lower than using a US army approach.
belcher
yes agreed
oakpacific
people keep saying that miners could become monopolies, but ffs, monopoly is like the yin of the competition's yang, only a market where monopoly is possible is truly free
belcher
also a fact is human civilization depends on ever higher energy use
Burns believes, Energy is the ultimate currency and the ultimate commodity.
okay maybe not "ever higher"
oakpacific
trying to suppress monopoly would usually give you monopoly that could perpetuate and resist changes
belcher
you could imagine a steady state, but energy is damn useful
oakpacific
which is exactly what PoS does
waxwing
actually i remember discussing "energy as a currency" with a physicist friend back in 2007, but he (nor anyone else) wasn't interested much.
oakpacific
imagine a price crash and panic dump, someone controls an exchange could then accumulate all the coins of a PoS chain, then maintain his monopoly forever
waxwing
oakpacific: yes that's exactly what we have today: monopolies supported by regulation.